Wani juyi ya faru a cikin tattalin arzikin Rasha: "Kamar gatari zuwa kasa"

Um ponto de virada ocorreu na economia russa: “Como um machado para o fundo”

"Tattalin arzikin Rasha kamar gatari ne a kasa," Mauricas ya rubuta a Facebook. - Kafin fara mamayewar sojojin Rasha na Ukraine, kasafin kudin Rasha ya karu da sauri: duka kudaden shiga daga fitar da mai da iskar gas (saboda hauhawar farashin mai da iskar gas) da sauran kudaden shiga (saboda saurin ci gaban tattalin arzikin Rasha da farfadowa. daga cutar COVID-19) ta girma. "

A cewarsa, tattalin arzikin Rasha a shekarar 2022 a watan Janairu ya karu zuwa kashi 8,1 cikin dari, a cikin Fabrairu - 5,4 bisa dari. A cewar masanin tattalin arziki, idan ba don mamaye kasar Ukraine ba, da alama tattalin arzikin Rasha a shekarar 2022 zai bunkasa da kusan kashi 5 cikin dari.

“Bayan da sojojin Rasha suka fara mamaye kasar Ukraine, an kakabawa Rasha takunkumin karya tattalin arziki, wanda hakan ya kawo cikas ga wasu sassa, alal misali, saboda takunkumin da aka sanya, yawan samar da motoci a Rasha ya fadi da kusan kashi 90% na farashin gas. Kudaden shigar da Rasha ke samu daga man fetur da iskar gas na ci gaba da karuwa. Hakan ya taimaka wajen rage asarar sauran kudaden shiga na kasafin kudi, don haka yawan kudaden shigar kasafin kudin kasar Rasha ya ci gaba da karuwa,” in ji shi. A watan Yuli, ya fadi zuwa 26%. Danyen mai na Brent ya ragu kasa da dala 100 a watan Yuli, yayin da danyen mai na Ural na kasar Rasha ya ragu kasa da dala 70 a shekarar 2021 a watan Yuli.

Farashin iskar gas ya kasance mai tsada, amma a cikin watan Yuli yawan iskar gas da Rasha ke fitarwa zuwa EU ya ragu da sau 3, wanda kuma ya kawo raguwar kudaden shiga daga fitar da iskar gas,” in ji Ž. Mauricas

Bugu da ƙari, ya tuna cewa an tilasta wa Rasha yin babban rangwame na dalar Amurka 25-35 a kowace ganga a kan man fetur saboda takunkumi, kuma halin da ake ciki ya ta'azzara ta hanyar ƙarfafawa / ƙarfafa aikin ruble, kamar 2022 Yuli. Farashin mai na Rasha "Urals", wanda aka lasafta a cikin rubles, ya kasance 22%. kasa da na 2021 a watan Yuli

Masanin tattalin arziki ya kammala da cewa idan yanayin ya ci gaba, kuma akwai yuwuwar cewa za su ci gaba, tattalin arzikin Rasha zai fuskanci manyan kalubale a nan gaba, saboda raguwar kudaden shiga na kasafin kudi ba wai kawai zai sa ya fi wahala ba da kudi ga mamayewar soja ba. Ukraine, amma kuma na iya haifar da ƙuƙumman bel tare da duk mummunan tasirin sa kamar ƙarin fatarar kuɗi da hauhawar rashin aikin yi.

"Saboda tsadar iskar gas da wutar lantarki, lokacin hunturu mai zuwa zai kasance da wahala ba kawai a gare mu ba har ma da Rasha (saboda koma bayan tattalin arziki da bel ɗin bel)," in ji Ž. Mauricas

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